UD Fornacense vs Guareña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
56.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+306%
+132%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ZAL
1 - 1
UDF
34%
24%
42%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
UDF
1 - 3
GIM
42%
23%
36%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CAM
1 - 2
UDF
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
UDF
1 - 1
UDF
49%
22%
29%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
UCL
1 - 0
UDF
85%
10%
5%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
GUA
3 - 2
CAT
63%
20%
17%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CPG
3 - 5
GUA
55%
20%
25%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
CDB
32%
23%
45%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CDD
1 - 0
GUA
54%
21%
25%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 2
UDF
14%
19%
68%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |