UD Fornacense vs Gimnástico Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+444%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
UDF
3 - 2
GUA
61%
20%
19%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CPR
4 - 1
UDF
21%
22%
58%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
UDF
3 - 0
ORE
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SPH
3 - 1
UDF
56%
21%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
UDF
2 - 2
UCL
26%
23%
51%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnástico Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
GIM
1 - 2
VAL
13%
23%
64%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MON
3 - 1
GIM
71%
19%
11%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
GIM
1 - 1
EMD
13%
20%
68%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
VIL
4 - 0
GIM
79%
14%
7%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CPR
1 - 2
GIM
49%
23%
29%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |