UD Fornacense vs Emérita Augusta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
57.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+220%
-66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CDB
1 - 2
UDF
74%
15%
11%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
UDF
1 - 1
BEL
63%
18%
19%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
UDF
0 - 3
SEG
25%
22%
53%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BIE
2 - 1
UDF
61%
20%
19%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
UDF
2 - 2
CDE
9%
14%
77%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Emérita Augusta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
EME
5 - 0
CDA
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 3
EME
13%
17%
70%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
EME
3 - 3
BAR
45%
22%
33%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
EME
5 - 1
CDZ
52%
21%
27%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
EME
0 - 1
TRU
66%
18%
16%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |