UD Fornacense vs EMD Aceuchal B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
32.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+446%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
EXT
3 - 0
UDF
76%
14%
11%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
UDF
1 - 0
SEG
39%
22%
39%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
HER
2 - 1
UDF
35%
21%
43%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
UDF
3 - 2
SAT
41%
23%
36%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
UDF
1 - 4
ESC
62%
18%
20%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
EMD Aceuchal B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ACE
1 - 1
SFO
34%
22%
45%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
RHI
5 - 1
ACE
60%
19%
21%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
MON
1 - 3
ACE
85%
10%
6%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
ACE
0 - 1
EXT
11%
15%
74%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
ACE
1 - 0
SEG
31%
22%
48%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |