UD Fornacense vs CP Rena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 2
UDF
51%
21%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
UDF
2 - 2
USA
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
5 - 0
UDF
66%
18%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
UDF
2 - 4
CDB
54%
20%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 0
UDF
53%
21%
26%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CP Rena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
OLY
2 - 0
CPR
76%
14%
10%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CPR
0 - 3
ADL
21%
20%
60%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SPR
3 - 2
CPR
55%
20%
25%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CPR
3 - 2
ZAL
18%
20%
63%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CPR
0 - 3
UCL
15%
18%
68%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | -1 |