UD Fornacense vs CP Rena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
18.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 2
UDF
40%
22%
38%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
UDF
4 - 1
MET
86%
10%
5%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GIM
2 - 0
UDF
16%
20%
64%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
UDF
8 - 1
CDB
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ADL
5 - 0
UDF
56%
21%
23%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CP Rena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SPR
2 - 4
CPR
57%
20%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CPR
3 - 2
OLY
52%
21%
27%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
CPR
6 - 5
UCL
15%
20%
65%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CAM
6 - 2
CPR
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CPR
3 - 1
OLY
38%
23%
39%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |