UD Fornacense vs CD Vadesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.1%
13.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+248%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
CDB
1 - 2
UDF
52%
22%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
UDF
4 - 1
RHI
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ALA
0 - 3
UDF
16%
18%
66%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
UDF
3 - 2
CAM
60%
19%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
JUV
0 - 2
UDF
19%
19%
62%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CD Vadesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
SEG
1 - 1
CDV
46%
22%
32%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
CDV
0 - 2
CDB
35%
22%
44%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
RHI
0 - 1
CDV
39%
21%
40%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
CDV
4 - 0
ALA
68%
17%
15%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CAM
4 - 1
CDV
29%
21%
50%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |