UD Fornacense vs CD Talarrubias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
45%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+224%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
CDT
5 - 1
UDF
55%
21%
24%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
MER
0 - 1
UDF
45%
21%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
UDF
2 - 1
SEG
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
UDF
4 - 1
SPR
77%
14%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
UDF
2 - 2
CDV
72%
15%
13%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Talarrubias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
CDT
5 - 1
UDF
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
CDT
4 - 0
SIR
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
MON
1 - 2
CDT
53%
21%
26%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 2
CDT
18%
19%
63%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
CDT
1 - 0
SBA
46%
23%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |