UD Fornacense vs CD Don Álvaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+306%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
UDF
2 - 1
UDF
53%
22%
25%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
UDF
3 - 1
EME
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
4 - 1
UDF
38%
24%
38%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
UDF
2 - 0
SPR
82%
12%
7%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
UDF
3 - 0
ZAF
64%
18%
18%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Don Álvaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CDD
6 - 2
CAT
55%
20%
26%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CPG
6 - 0
CDD
84%
10%
5%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CDD
3 - 4
CDB
36%
23%
41%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ZAF
2 - 1
CDD
72%
16%
12%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
TAL
5 - 2
CDD
47%
23%
30%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |