UD Fornacense vs UD Bienvenida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+446%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ALM
2 - 5
UDF
32%
22%
46%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
UDF
3 - 3
BEL
36%
22%
42%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
UDF
1 - 1
MON
12%
16%
73%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
SFO
5 - 0
UDF
29%
22%
49%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
UDF
2 - 3
RHI
44%
22%
34%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
UD Bienvenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
BIE
3 - 2
SFO
35%
23%
43%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
RHI
0 - 0
BIE
83%
11%
6%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
BIE
0 - 1
ACE
29%
22%
49%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
EXT
5 - 2
BIE
77%
14%
10%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
BIE
0 - 2
SEG
32%
23%
46%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |