UD Fornacense vs Athletic Fregenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
19.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+220%
+91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
UDF
0 - 2
HER
33%
22%
45%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
OLV
0 - 8
UDF
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CDB
1 - 0
UDF
76%
14%
10%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UDF
2 - 3
MON
54%
20%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ACE
0 - 0
UDF
39%
24%
38%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic Fregenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CDB
1 - 0
ATH
80%
12%
8%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 2
BIE
15%
19%
67%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 2
MON
30%
21%
49%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ACE
7 - 0
ATH
34%
23%
43%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 1
EME
17%
19%
64%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |