UD Fornacense vs Alange CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
30.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+248%
+109%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 0
UDF
38%
22%
41%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
UDF
3 - 1
JUV
60%
19%
21%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MON
3 - 2
UDF
68%
17%
15%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 4
UDF
47%
22%
30%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UDF
0 - 2
BEL
23%
21%
56%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Alange CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 2
SPR
49%
21%
31%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ALA
4 - 2
CDV
26%
21%
54%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 2
CDB
32%
22%
47%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 0
RHI
52%
20%
28%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 1
MET
14%
17%
69%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |