UD Fornacense vs AD Mérida Promesas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
44%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+248%
+416%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SEG
2 - 2
UDF
47%
23%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SPR
2 - 1
UDF
50%
22%
28%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CDV
1 - 1
UDF
52%
21%
27%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
UDF
3 - 3
CDB
26%
22%
52%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
RHI
2 - 2
UDF
32%
22%
46%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AD Mérida Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MER
6 - 3
SPR
48%
21%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MER
1 - 3
CDV
59%
19%
22%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CDB
1 - 0
MER
48%
21%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MER
4 - 1
RHI
75%
14%
11%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 3
MER
26%
21%
53%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |