UD Fornacense vs AD Llerenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
60.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SPR
4 - 1
UDF
74%
15%
11%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
UDF
2 - 1
ZAL
23%
21%
56%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CPR
3 - 1
UDF
37%
22%
41%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
UDF
0 - 1
CAM
40%
23%
37%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
USA
1 - 1
UDF
26%
22%
53%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ADL
1 - 0
CDT
76%
16%
8%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
OLY
2 - 2
ADL
38%
24%
38%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
UCL
3 - 3
ADL
60%
21%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ADL
4 - 1
SPR
41%
23%
36%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ZAL
0 - 4
ADL
57%
20%
22%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |