UD Fornacense vs AD Llerenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
40.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+444%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1992 |
JER
4 - 1
UDF
82%
13%
5%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1992 |
VIL
3 - 1
UDF
69%
20%
11%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1992 |
UDF
1 - 1
CDB
23%
28%
49%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1992 |
MON
6 - 0
UDF
73%
18%
9%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1992 |
UDF
2 - 0
TAL
62%
22%
16%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1992 |
ADL
0 - 0
VIL
55%
25%
20%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1992 |
CDB
2 - 0
ADL
70%
19%
11%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1992 |
ADL
1 - 0
MON
46%
27%
28%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1992 |
TAL
1 - 3
ADL
25%
29%
47%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1992 |
ADL
2 - 0
CDM
76%
16%
8%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |