Fonteta vs Alcàsser analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
71.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fonteta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
MON
2 - 0
FON
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FON
1 - 2
UBF
24%
22%
54%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 0
FON
66%
18%
16%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
FON
1 - 2
LEV
17%
20%
64%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CAT
4 - 2
FON
34%
24%
43%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Alcàsser
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ALC
4 - 1
MAS
43%
22%
35%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 0
ALC
47%
24%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 1
IMP
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
PIC
0 - 2
ALC
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MON
2 - 0
ALC
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |