Esperanza vs UE La Mancomunitat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
59.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperanza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SUE
0 - 8
ESP
92%
4%
3%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ESP
1 - 2
CAR
27%
21%
52%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ALG
4 - 1
ESP
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ESP
0 - 1
CIU
14%
17%
70%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ALB
5 - 0
ESP
87%
9%
4%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
UE La Mancomunitat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
UEM
1 - 2
GUA
55%
20%
25%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 4
UEM
21%
20%
60%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
UEM
1 - 1
OLY
43%
22%
36%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
UEM
4 - 1
ALC
71%
16%
13%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
UEM
1 - 0
SOL
30%
21%
50%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |