Esperanza vs Carlet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
52.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperanza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ALG
4 - 1
ESP
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ESP
0 - 1
CIU
14%
17%
70%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ALB
5 - 0
ESP
87%
9%
4%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
LAL
1 - 1
ESP
78%
14%
9%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2017 |
ESP
0 - 2
RAC
9%
14%
77%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Carlet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 4
GUA
52%
21%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ALM
3 - 3
CAR
22%
21%
57%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 1
OLY
40%
22%
39%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 4
PRO
36%
21%
42%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 4
CAR
15%
18%
67%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |