UD España vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
CAT
0 - 0
UDE
73%
15%
12%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1954 |
TER
2 - 0
UDE
55%
21%
24%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1954 |
UDE
3 - 1
XER
57%
21%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1954 |
CAS
3 - 3
UDE
64%
18%
18%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
UDE
1 - 0
GRA
49%
23%
28%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
RJA
0 - 0
TER
83%
11%
7%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1954 |
XER
9 - 1
RJA
49%
23%
29%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1954 |
RJA
5 - 1
CAS
78%
13%
9%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1954 |
GRA
3 - 1
RJA
57%
21%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
RJA
2 - 0
EXT
85%
9%
5%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | +1 |