UD España vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.5%
13.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
MEL
1 - 0
UDE
63%
18%
19%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
MER
3 - 7
UDE
36%
22%
43%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
UDE
1 - 0
LCF
78%
12%
10%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
BET
3 - 0
UDE
83%
11%
7%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
UDE
3 - 2
SFE
78%
12%
10%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
RJA
5 - 0
MER
92%
5%
3%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
LCF
2 - 0
RJA
54%
20%
26%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
RJA
1 - 1
BET
39%
22%
39%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
SFE
3 - 2
RJA
58%
19%
23%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
RJA
3 - 1
REC
40%
22%
38%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +3 |