UD Chío vs Lorenzo Negrín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
20.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Chío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
MDT
0 - 2
CHI
13%
16%
71%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 0
ALA
81%
11%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 2
CHI
31%
21%
48%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CHI
8 - 1
COR
75%
14%
11%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
ARM
1 - 1
CHI
53%
20%
27%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lorenzo Negrín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
LNE
1 - 1
TRA
60%
18%
21%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
COR
0 - 1
LNE
23%
20%
57%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
LNE
4 - 2
ARM
32%
21%
46%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 4
LNE
27%
21%
52%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LNE
0 - 0
PLA
63%
18%
19%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |