Cebarca vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
27.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cebarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MEI
3 - 3
CEB
78%
13%
9%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CEB
4 - 2
VAL
33%
21%
46%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CEB
1 - 1
RAP
32%
21%
47%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CLU
6 - 0
CEB
86%
10%
5%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CEB
1 - 1
BAR
65%
17%
18%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MOE
0 - 2
NUM
30%
21%
49%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
NUM
0 - 2
MEI
20%
20%
60%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
NUM
3 - 3
VAL
39%
22%
40%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
RAP
2 - 2
NUM
59%
19%
22%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
NUM
0 - 1
CLU
13%
16%
71%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |