Cebarca vs Moeche ADC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.2%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cebarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
NAR
4 - 1
CEB
49%
21%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CEB
1 - 2
SAD
48%
22%
31%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CEB
1 - 1
MEI
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
CEB
40%
23%
37%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CEB
4 - 2
GAL
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Moeche ADC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MOE
2 - 2
ROS
25%
21%
54%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
NAR
1 - 0
MOE
77%
14%
9%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MOE
1 - 4
NOF
71%
15%
14%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CAP
2 - 3
MOE
48%
22%
30%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MOE
3 - 2
XCA
51%
20%
29%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |