Cebarca vs Moeche ADC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cebarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
NAR
3 - 2
CEB
68%
17%
16%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
CEB
1 - 1
MAN
65%
17%
18%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
CEB
21%
19%
60%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CEB
3 - 0
ROS
81%
12%
8%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
EST
0 - 2
CEB
24%
19%
57%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Moeche ADC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MOE
3 - 3
RAP
22%
19%
59%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
XCA
2 - 2
MOE
47%
20%
33%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
MOE
4 - 2
ORT
54%
20%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MOE
6 - 2
EST
47%
21%
33%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
NAR
4 - 2
MOE
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |