Cebarca vs Moeche ADC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15%
12.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cebarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CEB
3 - 2
GAL
57%
19%
24%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
NUM
3 - 1
CEB
51%
20%
29%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CEB
2 - 4
MEI
40%
22%
38%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
VAL
4 - 4
CEB
48%
21%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CEB
7 - 2
CAR
53%
20%
27%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Moeche ADC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MOE
0 - 4
CLU
13%
17%
70%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MOE
1 - 0
BAR
40%
22%
38%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NUM
4 - 0
MOE
63%
18%
19%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MOE
0 - 0
CUL
26%
21%
54%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CAP
3 - 1
MOE
66%
18%
17%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |