UD Castros vs Unión Astur CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
51.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+888%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
3 - 0
CAL
30%
22%
48%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
COD
2 - 0
CAS
50%
22%
28%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 1
QUI
38%
23%
39%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
GLM
3 - 0
CAS
68%
18%
14%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 3
ABO
23%
22%
55%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Astur CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
UAS
4 - 1
COD
70%
17%
13%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 3
UAS
39%
23%
38%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
UAS
1 - 2
GLM
51%
22%
27%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ABO
1 - 0
UAS
50%
22%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
UAS
2 - 1
LUZ
74%
16%
11%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |