UD Castros vs La Espina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
35.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+866%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MCU
3 - 2
CAS
74%
16%
11%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 2
HIS
16%
19%
65%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
TAP
4 - 0
CAS
78%
15%
7%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 1
AVI
9%
14%
77%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CDP
2 - 1
CAS
62%
19%
18%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
La Espina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
LES
0 - 1
LCM
22%
19%
59%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
MCU
1 - 0
LES
68%
17%
15%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
LES
0 - 1
BOS
22%
20%
58%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
HIS
4 - 1
LES
69%
16%
14%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
LES
3 - 2
RAI
38%
22%
40%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |