UD Castros vs Real Tapia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
56.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+866%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
AVI
1 - 0
CAS
82%
12%
7%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
CAS
2 - 0
CDP
34%
23%
43%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
CRN
1 - 0
CAS
81%
12%
8%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CAS
0 - 3
TRE
9%
17%
75%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LCM
3 - 2
CAS
67%
16%
17%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Tapia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
TAP
1 - 0
MCU
37%
24%
39%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
HIS
5 - 3
TAP
64%
19%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
LES
0 - 1
TAP
19%
20%
60%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
TAP
0 - 3
AVI
20%
20%
61%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CDP
0 - 1
TAP
22%
22%
56%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |