UD Castros vs Podes CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
71.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+378%
-76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
HIS
3 - 1
CAS
73%
17%
11%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 2
NAR
48%
24%
28%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
LUA
2 - 0
CAS
77%
14%
9%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 3
TAP
9%
16%
75%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
GOZ
2 - 0
CAS
65%
20%
16%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Podes CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
POD
5 - 1
SAL
86%
9%
5%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
POD
2 - 1
HIS
56%
20%
24%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
NAR
1 - 4
POD
19%
22%
60%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
POD
4 - 1
LUA
33%
22%
44%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
TAP
2 - 2
POD
72%
17%
11%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |