UD Castros vs Navia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
65.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+282%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
RAI
4 - 1
CAS
63%
18%
19%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CAS
4 - 0
SEP
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
MOS
0 - 1
CAS
64%
18%
18%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 2
HIS
45%
22%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CDP
3 - 0
CAS
70%
17%
13%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Navia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
NAI
2 - 1
RPR
60%
19%
22%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 4
NAI
25%
20%
56%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
NAI
3 - 0
VER
54%
21%
25%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
RAI
0 - 1
NAI
52%
20%
28%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SAS
1 - 2
NAI
36%
22%
43%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |