UD Castros vs Navia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+214%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
RGJ
4 - 5
CAS
12%
15%
73%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
4 - 2
ATL
52%
23%
25%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
7 - 0
EST
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
COD
2 - 3
CAS
13%
18%
69%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
6 - 0
SEP
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Navia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
NAI
3 - 0
RGJ
65%
17%
17%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
NAI
1 - 2
ATL
49%
23%
29%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
EST
1 - 4
NAI
22%
20%
59%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
NAI
3 - 1
COD
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
SEP
0 - 2
NAI
20%
19%
61%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |