UD Castros vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
LUA
2 - 0
CAS
77%
14%
9%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 3
TAP
9%
16%
75%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
GOZ
2 - 0
CAS
65%
20%
16%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 2
BOS
34%
23%
42%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAS
57%
21%
22%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
NAR
1 - 4
POD
19%
22%
60%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
HIS
1 - 0
NAR
72%
18%
10%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
NAR
1 - 3
SAL
50%
23%
27%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
NAR
0 - 0
LUA
19%
21%
60%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
TAP
2 - 0
NAR
76%
15%
9%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |