UD Castros vs Llaranes B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
42.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+866%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
VER
1 - 3
CAS
28%
22%
50%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAR
49%
23%
28%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
MAR
7 - 1
CAS
80%
12%
8%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
LES
0 - 1
CAS
24%
21%
56%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
CAS
3 - 1
MCU
20%
22%
59%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Llaranes B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
LRN
4 - 4
MCU
36%
22%
43%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
HIS
1 - 2
LRN
80%
12%
8%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
LRN
0 - 4
TAP
28%
22%
51%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
AVI
4 - 1
LRN
80%
12%
8%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
LRN
0 - 3
CDP
62%
18%
21%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -2 |