UD Castros vs Llaranes B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
31.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
PUE
2 - 1
CAS
37%
22%
41%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 0
LES
45%
21%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CDP
1 - 0
CAS
43%
22%
35%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 4
MCU
38%
23%
39%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
AST
2 - 1
CAS
80%
14%
7%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Llaranes B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
LRN
0 - 3
AVI
11%
15%
74%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
5 - 1
LRN
54%
21%
24%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
LRN
2 - 1
CRN
38%
22%
40%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BOA
4 - 1
LRN
74%
15%
10%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LRN
0 - 2
HIS
15%
17%
67%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |