UD Castros vs FCR La Calzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
24.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
TRE
2 - 0
CAS
56%
21%
24%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
NAI
49%
21%
30%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MCU
0 - 1
CAS
39%
23%
38%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 2
UAS
38%
23%
39%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
5 - 0
RGJ
60%
19%
20%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FCR La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 1
GLM
30%
22%
48%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
4 - 0
TIN
44%
22%
34%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
4 - 1
CAL
80%
12%
7%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ABO
2 - 2
CAL
51%
21%
27%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 3
CAS
46%
22%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |