UD Castros vs Asunción A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+214%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 3
CAS
13%
17%
70%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
4 - 1
NAI
60%
21%
20%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
RGJ
4 - 5
CAS
12%
15%
73%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
4 - 2
ATL
52%
23%
25%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
7 - 0
EST
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Asunción A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
NAI
32%
23%
45%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
RGJ
52%
20%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
ATL
35%
23%
43%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
EST
2 - 1
CAS
37%
21%
42%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
COD
60%
19%
21%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |