UD Castros vs Asunción A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
22.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
TIN
1 - 3
CAS
40%
22%
38%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 2
ATL
29%
23%
48%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
GLM
1 - 2
CAS
78%
14%
9%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
ABO
37%
22%
41%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
CAS
66%
18%
17%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Asunción A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
MCU
35%
22%
43%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
TIN
3 - 2
CAS
45%
22%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 4
UAS
24%
21%
55%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
4 - 0
CAS
61%
20%
20%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
RGJ
28%
21%
51%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |