UD Castros vs Asunción A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
15.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+888%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
RVL
2 - 5
CAS
33%
23%
44%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 4
CDP
34%
23%
43%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MID
1 - 2
CAS
29%
23%
48%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAS
5 - 2
UAS
26%
22%
52%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
3 - 0
CAL
30%
22%
48%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Asunción A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
COD
46%
23%
32%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
QUI
6 - 0
CAS
65%
18%
17%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 3
GLM
19%
21%
60%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ABO
5 - 1
CAS
76%
15%
9%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
LUZ
42%
23%
36%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |