UD Castros vs CF Estudiantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+214%
-99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
COD
2 - 3
CAS
13%
18%
69%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
6 - 0
SEP
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
PDV
1 - 0
CAS
27%
23%
51%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
5 - 0
ABO
61%
19%
20%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
BAR
4 - 0
CAS
28%
22%
50%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
CF Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
EST
1 - 4
NAI
22%
20%
59%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
RGJ
4 - 2
EST
51%
20%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
EST
1 - 1
ATL
27%
21%
52%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
COD
3 - 4
EST
42%
22%
37%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
EST
3 - 0
SEP
39%
21%
40%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |