UD Castros vs CD Aboño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
19.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+214%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
BAR
4 - 0
CAS
28%
22%
50%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
MCU
65%
19%
16%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 4
CAS
22%
19%
59%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAL
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
NAI
1 - 4
CAS
39%
21%
40%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Aboño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ABO
0 - 1
NAI
61%
19%
21%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
RGJ
3 - 3
ABO
18%
18%
64%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ABO
2 - 2
ATL
56%
20%
24%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
EST
0 - 7
ABO
17%
18%
65%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ABO
8 - 0
COD
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |