UD Castros vs CD Aboño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
55.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+888%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LUZ
2 - 3
CAS
42%
23%
35%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
BOS
30%
23%
47%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
MCU
2 - 1
CAS
63%
20%
18%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
3 - 2
PDV
23%
22%
55%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ARE
3 - 0
CAS
73%
16%
11%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Aboño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ABO
1 - 0
COD
72%
17%
12%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 3
ABO
31%
23%
46%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ABO
1 - 0
GLM
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ABO
3 - 1
CAL
69%
18%
14%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LUZ
0 - 4
ABO
32%
23%
45%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |