UD Castros vs Barcia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
26.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+888%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ARE
2 - 3
CAS
21%
20%
59%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
RGJ
1 - 4
CAS
24%
20%
56%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
BAR
45%
22%
34%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
MID
1 - 3
CAS
28%
21%
51%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAS
5 - 2
COD
64%
18%
18%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Barcia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 2
SIE
77%
13%
10%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 1
PDV
41%
22%
38%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
BAR
45%
22%
34%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
BAR
5 - 0
TIN
60%
19%
22%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ATL
5 - 0
BAR
60%
19%
20%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |