Castellonense vs Alginet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
69.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
BEN
3 - 1
CAS
84%
11%
5%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 2
SDS
17%
22%
61%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 1
CAS
75%
16%
9%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 3
CTS
19%
22%
59%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CAN
5 - 0
CAS
72%
18%
11%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Alginet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ALG
3 - 1
PEG
75%
17%
8%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CDA
1 - 1
ALG
13%
19%
68%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ALG
0 - 4
MAS
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
UDC
1 - 1
ALG
15%
21%
64%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ALG
1 - 0
CAT
65%
21%
14%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |