Pref. Valenciana Promotion Play-offs Final
Global 3-0
UD Castellonense vs Callosa Deportiva CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castellonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SON
1 - 1
UDC
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
UDC
1 - 1
SON
29%
25%
46%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
UDC
1 - 3
FON
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 0
UDC
36%
26%
38%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
UDC
4 - 1
MUR
82%
14%
5%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Callosa Deportiva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 0
LAL
42%
25%
33%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
LAL
1 - 1
CAL
50%
24%
26%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
NUC
2 - 0
CAL
40%
26%
34%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 0
IND
58%
23%
19%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ALM
0 - 4
CAL
17%
25%
59%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | +1 |