UD Castellonense B vs Balompié Alfafar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
23.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castellonense B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
UDC
1 - 3
ALM
47%
23%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PIC
4 - 1
UDC
58%
21%
22%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
UDC
3 - 1
MAS
32%
22%
46%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
XAT
0 - 2
UDC
51%
22%
27%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
UDC
3 - 2
APO
27%
23%
50%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Balompié Alfafar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 2
BAL
26%
21%
53%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 4
ENG
56%
21%
24%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MOI
2 - 0
BAL
15%
19%
66%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 2
RAC
46%
22%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
RAF
1 - 2
BAL
52%
20%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |