Ud Carrión vs Almagro CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
63.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ud Carrión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MIG
2 - 1
UDC
66%
20%
15%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Almagro CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ALM
2 - 1
CDC
33%
25%
42%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 0
STO
71%
17%
11%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
DAI
1 - 0
ALM
46%
26%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 2
TER
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
LSO
4 - 1
ALM
53%
22%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |