UD Carrión vs U.D. Alpera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Carrión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 1
UDC
66%
19%
15%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
UDC
2 - 1
TOM
37%
23%
40%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
UDC
5 - 2
CDP
72%
17%
12%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CDB
1 - 1
UDC
54%
22%
24%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
UDC
1 - 1
CDB
42%
24%
35%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
U.D. Alpera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ALP
1 - 0
ALM
27%
23%
50%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LSO
5 - 2
ALP
89%
8%
3%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |