UD Carrión vs Miguel Esteban AD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Carrión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CSP
4 - 3
UDC
92%
6%
2%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
UDC
1 - 2
PED
66%
19%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
0 - 1
UDC
63%
21%
16%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
UDC
3 - 0
CVA
43%
23%
34%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
LGI
4 - 0
UDC
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Miguel Esteban AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MES
2 - 0
CDB
55%
23%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
LSO
2 - 0
MES
75%
16%
9%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MES
1 - 2
FUE
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MES
0 - 1
CSP
18%
20%
61%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
PED
2 - 2
MES
34%
25%
41%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |