UD Carrión vs CD Manchego Provencio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Carrión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
RRB
1 - 1
UDC
59%
23%
18%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
UDC
0 - 0
MIG
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
LSO
1 - 0
UDC
74%
17%
8%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
CVA
2 - 1
UDC
17%
23%
61%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
UDC
1 - 1
TER
49%
22%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Manchego Provencio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
MAN
1 - 0
TER
18%
22%
59%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ATT
2 - 0
MAN
78%
15%
7%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
MAN
0 - 4
ALM
13%
21%
66%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
CLE
3 - 0
MAN
79%
15%
7%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
MAN
0 - 1
ROD
16%
23%
61%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |