UD Carrión vs CDB Herencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Carrión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
RRB
0 - 2
UDC
37%
25%
38%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
UDC
1 - 3
ATL
46%
25%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MUN
2 - 1
UDC
21%
24%
56%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
UDC
6 - 2
CAU
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
UDC
3 - 3
FUE
63%
21%
16%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CDB Herencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CDB
1 - 2
ATT
30%
25%
46%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ALC
2 - 1
CDB
35%
25%
40%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CDB
1 - 0
ALM
30%
25%
45%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
PED
1 - 0
CDB
71%
18%
11%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CDB
0 - 3
LSO
22%
25%
53%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |